Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.113762 0.122120 0.130779 0.140424 0.150873 0.161860 0.174294
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.098724 0.110808 0.123961 0.139368 0.156955 0.176445 0.199733
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.089249 0.103218 0.118939 0.137995 0.160543 0.186458 0.218626
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.080959 0.095887 0.113140 0.134639 0.160825 0.191831 0.231540
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.077121 0.093290 0.112426 0.136865 0.167420 0.204586 0.253556
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.071874 0.088528 0.108641 0.134880 0.168436 0.210219 0.266664
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.067665 0.084719 0.105700 0.133605 0.170041 0.216400 0.280490
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063056 0.080105 0.101427 0.130281 0.168663 0.218457 0.288750
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059733 0.076935 0.098786 0.128849 0.169555 0.223360 0.300860
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057376 0.074882 0.097452 0.129001 0.172462 0.230956 0.316882
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.054397 0.071843 0.094643 0.126975 0.172215 0.234119 0.326708
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.052160 0.069687 0.092895 0.126270 0.173688 0.239632 0.340025
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051527 0.069734 0.094197 0.129936 0.181594 0.254760 0.368411
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049306 0.067489 0.092238 0.128902 0.182713 0.260182 0.382701
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047185 0.065282 0.090217 0.127647 0.183387 0.264893 0.396040
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044644 0.062367 0.087059 0.124571 0.181178 0.265137 0.402384
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043839 0.061903 0.087383 0.126611 0.186689 0.277227 0.427884
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041949 0.059782 0.085202 0.124792 0.186201 0.280029 0.438590
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040365 0.058046 0.083512 0.123624 0.186630 0.284223 0.451692
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038359 0.055608 0.080681 0.120577 0.183955 0.283336 0.456252
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036936 0.053990 0.079019 0.119263 0.183947 0.286678 0.468019
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035972 0.053030 0.078312 0.119403 0.186251 0.293831 0.486597
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.034553 0.051325 0.076398 0.117545 0.185208 0.295393 0.495499